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Markets experienced turmoil following the Federal Reserve's indication of fewer rate cuts in 2025, strengthening the dollar and prompting global central banks to reconsider their policies. While the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell slightly, the Dow broke a 10-day losing streak, suggesting mixed investor sentiment amid heightened volatility. The upcoming U.S. personal consumption expenditures price index is expected to significantly influence market reactions.
Asian shares showed mixed results as markets awaited U.S. personal spending data. Japan's core inflation rose to 2.7%, prompting a stronger dollar against the yen. Meanwhile, U.S. markets faced volatility, with the S&P 500 still on track for a strong year despite recent fluctuations.
Asian shares showed mixed results as markets awaited U.S. personal spending data. Japan's core inflation rose to 2.7% year-on-year, prompting a stronger dollar against the yen. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury yields fluctuated amid mixed economic reports, with the S&P 500 still on track for a strong year despite recent market struggles.
Asian shares showed mixed results as markets awaited U.S. personal spending data. Japan's core inflation rose to 2.7% year-on-year, prompting the dollar to strengthen against the yen. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 remains on track for a strong year despite recent market struggles, with traders adjusting expectations for future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
Asian shares showed mixed results as markets awaited U.S. personal spending data. Japan's core inflation rose to 2.7% year-on-year, prompting the dollar to strengthen against the yen. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury yields fluctuated amid mixed economic reports, with the S&P 500 still on track for a strong year despite recent market struggles.
The stock market faced significant losses following the Federal Reserve's rate outlook, with the Dow Jones plunging 2.6% and the S&P 500 down 2.95%. Major tech stocks like Nvidia and Tesla also fell, while Micron's weak guidance led to a sharp decline in its shares. Despite a slight bounce in futures, the market remains volatile, with rising Treasury yields and economic uncertainty ahead.
The Bank of England has maintained its interest rate at 4.75% as UK inflation reached an eight-month high of 2.6% in November, driven by rising transportation and housing costs. Despite some easing inflationary pressures, persistent inflation in the services sector remains a concern for the central bank.
The Federal Reserve's recent hawkish stance, signaling a slower pace of interest rate cuts, has led to a surge in the US dollar, causing significant pressure on major currency pairs like AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY. Traders are adjusting positions as the dollar strengthens, with AUD/USD nearing 2 ¼ year lows and USD/JPY sensitive to the divergence in monetary policy between the Fed and the Bank of Japan. Market expectations now reflect a reduced outlook for rate cuts in 2025, influenced by strong US inflation and economic indicators.
IG
David Roche, strategist at Quantum Strategy, analyzes the Bank of Japan's recent decision to maintain unchanged interest rates. He also shares insights on the bank's outlook for 2025, highlighting the implications of this monetary policy stance.
Market participants anticipate minimal surprises from the central bank, expecting rates to remain steady while hinting at gradual hikes in 2025. The Fed's recent 25 basis point cut has shifted projections, now favoring two cuts in 2025 and two in 2026, amid rising inflation and growth forecasts.The hawkish tone from the FOMC meeting led to a sell-off on Wall Street, with Treasury yields surging and the US dollar reaching its highest level since November 2022. Asian markets followed suit, with the Nikkei 225 testing key support levels as traders await the Bank of Japan's upcoming meeting.
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